The core of the Mortgage Risk Service is CompassCRE, a desktop and Web services tool that calculates default metrics calibrated to historic Commercial Real Estate Mortgage defaults. CompassCRE takes into account loan structure, seasoning, NOI growth, capital value growth, and market volatility. The analysis differentiates systematic risk across loan structure, metropolitan area, property type, time, seasoning period, and macroeconomic expectations (stress testing). The application directly provides complete time series measures of Probability of Default, Loss Given Default, Expected Loss, and Unexpected Loss for a loan, portfolio, or securitized pool.
The forecasted principal loss and volatility of loss during any period
in any particular loan's term is calculated under alternate economic
scenarios. Applying this metric provides base case and stress tested
measures of Probability of Default, Loss Given Default, Expected Loss,
and Unexpected Loss for a loan, portfolio, or securitized pool.
CompassCRE assesses the prospective performance of an individual loan and/or an entire mortgage portfolio. PPR's views on the behavior of the collateral's incomes and values drive the collateral performance of each mortgage. The benefit lies in thoughtfully outlining the substantive differences in the underlying economic fundamentals that occur among individual real estate markets, as well as the varying level of uncertainty surrounding each assessment. These factors are crucial in determining of the borrower's economic incentives for the loan, and our increased understanding of this information is therefore essential to a more accurate assessment of risk.
In order to determine loss, CompassCRE utilizes
a proprietary risk metric benchmarked to historical default data.
This calibration allows specific determination of the sub-components
of loss: Probability of Default (PD) and Loss Given Default (LGD).
Applying these important metrics allows lenders to proactively manage
their portfolios, thereby reducing losses and reserves required to
cover them. As a result, the downside exposure measures reveal opportunities
and improve capital allocation decisions.
For more information contact us or call 617-426-4446